Adam Dunn K Watch

Thursday, April 25, 2013

Hometown zero: With Adam Dunn batting cleanup, the White Sox have nothing to worry about

Posted by on 04.25.13 at 12:33 PM

Dunn at the Cell on Sunday, zeroing in on a new batting record
  • Tom Cruze/Sun-Times
  • Dunn at the Cell on Sunday, zeroing in on a new batting record
"When I'm in the box, I don't feel like, 'Oh, crap, here goes nothing,'" Adam Dunn told Toni Ginnetti of the Sun-Times earlier this week.

He must not be in touch with his feelings. When the White Sox cleanup hitter bats, nothing is guaranteed, or nearly.

Sabermetrics allows us to explore Dunn's situational nonhitting in this season's opening weeks. His average is approximately .000 against power pitchers (0-10) and lefties (0-12), on balls hit to the infield (0-23), and late in close games (0-12). When he's stepped to the plate in the third, fifth, eighth, ninth, and extra innings, he's soon stepped back to the dugout with zero, zip, zilch. When he's been up with a runner on first, or third, or runners on first and third, or second and third, he's produced nada, nil, nix.

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Monday, April 1, 2013

Dunn looks for his 400th Sox strikeout as baseball returns to Chicago

Posted by on 04.01.13 at 12:32 PM

And it's one, two, three strikes you're out again, starting today.
  • Johnny Sampson
  • And it's one, two, three strikes you're out again, starting today.
It's chilly, but so what? Baseball is back.

The Cubs take on the Pirates in Pittsburgh at 12:35 PM. The White Sox host the Royals at 3:10. At about that time, six-foot-six southpaw Chris Sale will toe the rubber 60 feet and six inches from the plate, and start striking out Royals. Last year, he fanned exactly 192 in 192 innings.

And at some point during the game, Sox cleanup hitter Adam Dunn undoubtedly will whiff for the 400th time since he joined the team two years ago. (He's at 399 right now.) Maybe they should stop the game and give Dunn the ball—but money is tight right now in the big leagues.

And there are endless chances to commemorate Dunn whiffs. He'll likely reach 500 Sox Ks by mid-season, and 600 by September.

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Tuesday, February 26, 2013

A Buddhist remedy for Adam Dunn

Posted by on 02.26.13 at 11:33 AM

Dunn, focusing, at a spring training game in Arizona Saturday
  • Rob Tringali/Getty Images
  • Dunn, focusing, at a spring training game in Arizona Saturday
Robin Ventura seems to be a pretty good manager, but he does have his quirks. In his rookie season as White Sox skipper last year, he usually hit Adam Dunn third. You'd generally prefer your third-place hitter to bat above .204 and strikeout fewer than 222 times.

So I'm happy to see that Ventura may be thinking about dropping Dunn in the order. (He's had him hitting fourth and fifth in the early going in Arizona.) The fans at South Side Sox offer strong reasons for Dunn batting fifth, which have to do with the base stealing of those ahead of him in the order. They boil down to this: it's usually not smart for someone to try to steal while Dunn's at the plate. He doesn't hit into many double plays (because he whiffs so often), reducing the benefit of stealing. And when he does make contact, the ball often flies over the fence, in which case it matters little if the runner was on first, second, or third.

Baseball statisticians have studied the matter and concluded that it makes less sense to steal when Dunn's batting than it does with almost anyone else in the big leagues at the plate. You'd better be Rickey Henderson if you're going to take off when Dunn's up. (Henderson in his prime, that is; he's 54 now, and may have lost a step.)

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Monday, February 18, 2013

On Michael Jordan, the White Sox, the Cubs, and Michael Jordan (and did we mention Michael Jordan?)

Posted by on 02.18.13 at 02:33 PM

Michael Jordan, 15 years before his AARP days
  • Jonathan Daniel/Allsport/Getty Images
  • Michael Jordan, 15 years before his AARP days
We'll have something to say in a moment about Michael Jordan, so stick around. But first, a few words about Chicago's baseball teams.

Neither the White Sox nor the Cubs should disappoint this season, given the low expectations for both. Baseball Prospectus forecasts a 77-85 season for both teams. BP has the Sox finishing third, 15 games behind the Detroit Tigers, and the Cubs last, 15 games behind the Cincinnati Reds.

Last year, however, BP pegged the south-siders for 78-84, and they finished 85-77. The north-siders also surprised: BP predicted a 74-88 season, and the Cubs managed 61-101, second-worst in the majors. (The hapless Houston Astros were 55-107.)

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Wednesday, September 26, 2012

Yahoo! blogger's scoop grounds White Sox

Posted by on 09.26.12 at 09:49 AM

Alejandro De Aza, out at third in a game last September
  • John J. Kim/Sun-Times Media
  • Alejandro De Aza, out at third in a game last September
If the White Sox don't win the Central Divison title, Kevin Kaduk! will be personally responsible.

Kaduk! writes for Big League Stew, a baseball blog for Yahoo! Sports. On Friday, Kaduk! pointed out that White Sox leadoff hitter Alejandro De Aza had "a shot at a rare achievement"—he'd been to the plate 555 times this season, and had yet to ground into a double play. Kaduk! said that if De Aza could go the rest of the season without grounding into a double play, he'd be just the fifth batting-title-qualified player since 1942 to do it. "It's a nice blend of achievement and luck for anyone to go through an entire season without grounding into a double play and we'll see if De Aza gets there," Kaduk! wrote.

I wondered how many no hitters Kaduk! had spoiled by blabbing about them in the seventh inning. The four other players who'd avoided GIDP for a full year—Craig Biggio in 1997, Rob Deer in 1990, Dick McAuliffe in 1968, and Pete Reiser in 1942—didn't have to worry about some Yahoo! blogging about it prematurely.

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Tuesday, September 25, 2012

Dunn looks to break through—to postseason

Posted by on 09.25.12 at 11:15 AM

Adam Dunn turned frowns upside down at Sox Park Monday.
  • Paul Boucher
  • Adam Dunn turned frowns upside down at Sox Park Monday
Lost in all the notice he's attracted for his single-season strikeout marks the last two years is Adam Dunn's career record.

To wit: he is the active big-league leader in most games played without appearing in the postseason.

In that, he has good company here in Chicago. The top two all-time are Ernie Banks of the Cubs and Luke Appling of the White Sox.

For all the splendor of his comeback season this year, when he's hit barely above .200 but also clouted 39 homers going into Monday's game at White Sox Park against the Cleveland Indians, Dunn has looked as if he wanted to extend that record this fall.

He missed a key series with the Tigers with an injury to his side, and he's been ineffectual upon his return.

In fact, he struck out his first two times up Monday in a must-have game against the Tribe.

Then, however, he homered his last two times up to keep the Sox in the game in the sixth, down 3-2, then to put them ahead in the eighth with a three-run shot that put them up 5-3.

The Sox went on to win 5-4, to keep them a game ahead of the Detroit Tigers in the American League Central.

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Monday, September 24, 2012

White Sox magic numbers

Posted by on 09.24.12 at 04:30 PM

The great Adam Dunn
By losing only once yesterday, the White Sox reduced their magic number to ten (because the Tigers dropped a pair). The Sox are one game up on the Tigers with ten to play. Any combination of ten Tiger losses and ten White Sox losses, and the Sox clinch the mighty AL Central.

Adam Dunn, meantime, likely will fall short in his valiant pursuit of the big league single-season strikeout record. Dunn's 205 whiffs this year already is the third highest season total, and he'll almost certainly pass Mark Reynolds's 2010 mark of 211 for second place. He'll have to really get breezy, however, to break Reynolds's 2009 total of 223 Ks. But it isn't over till it's over.

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Friday, July 20, 2012

Adam Dunn, all is forgiven

Posted by on 07.20.12 at 01:10 PM

Heir to Dave Nicholson, reminder of betrayal
Here at the office, I'm looking sharp today in my sky blue Adam Dunn American League All-Star T-shirt. It's a birthday present from a clever friend. My birthday's today, so the rigid Reader dress code has been relaxed for me.

On the train ride downtown this morning, I didn't spot anyone else wearing the Adam Dunn All-Star shirt. And a check of Google Maps Adam Dunn All-Star T-Shirt View confirms that I am, in fact, the only person in downtown Chicago wearing the shirt today.

It was the perfect gift. As some of you are aware, I've been one of Dunn's biggest supporters since the Big Breeze blew into town 319 strikeouts ago.

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Friday, July 13, 2012

On to the second half of baseball season

Posted by on 07.13.12 at 10:48 AM

Adam Dunn and the White Sox trot smiling into the second half.
  • Paul Boucher
  • Adam Dunn and the White Sox trot smiling into the second half
The formal second half of the baseball season begins Friday, with our two teams in vastly different circumstances.

The White Sox are in first place in the American League Central, nine games above .500 after their recent hot streak, and three games ahead of the second-place Cleveland Indians.

But only three and a half ahead of more-threatening Detroit, which issued a challenge over the All-Star break from Miguel Cabrera.

The Cubs helped awaken the sleeping Tigers, and they've been hot too, but then again their ace Justin Verlander just got lit up as the AL starter in the All-Star Game, and that's not easily shaken off.

I still like my wager that Adam Dunn will hit more homers than the Tigers' Prince Fielder, as he's up at the break 25-15. But Dunn may also break his own team record for strikeouts—before August is over.

As for the Cubs . . .

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Thursday, June 28, 2012

Joy in Mudville: Adam Dunn connects!

Posted by on 06.28.12 at 11:16 AM

The Big Breeze couldnt miss yesterday
Adam Dunn's bat, which had suffered nary a nick the last 11 days, took a beating yesterday afternoon in Minnesota. The occasional slugger went three for five with a homer and knocked in four as the White Sox trounced the Twins, 12-5.

Dunn also didn't strike out. Not once, the whole game. Seriously. He hit fly balls the two times he was retired.

The Big Breeze hadn't gone deep—or medium, or shallow—since June 15. He'd had three singles in 36 at bats, with 21 whiffs. And he was still batting third in the Sox order.

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