Claypool concedes, Berrios is Cook County assessor, surviving widespread press condemnation (by a lot).
Update I: Brady at 52% in Kankakee with 62% reporting. Compare to Topinka at 48% in 2006. Doesn't amount to much in terms of raw numbers—the question is whether Brady doing better in Republican strongholds across the state will make up for the massive gap in Cook County. FYI: Kirk seems to be slightly outperforming Brady in most counties.
Update II: Lake County, 38% reporting: Brady and Kirk lead Quinn and Giannoulias, 50%/43% and 55%/39%. As far as governor, that'd flip the 2006 results, which were 46%/43% Blago/Topinka. Although Whitney did 11% in '06, has 2.5% tonight. Having trouble processing that. Sorry, looked at the wrong #s.
[FYI: Using 2006 as a mark because the the '08 presidential/Senate and '04 Senate elections seem like worse comparisions—Durbin's a hugely popular incumbent, Obama '08 was a bit of an outlier, Obama '04 was, you know, Alan Keyes.]
Update III: Lake County, 100% reporting: Brady 50% Quinn 42%, Kirk 56% Giannoulias 39%. As far as governor, that'd flip the 2006 results, which were 46%/43% Blago/Topinka. Although Whitney did 11% in '06, has 2.5% tonight. Having trouble processing that.
Update IV: So that'd make Lake and Will Counties as flips from Democrat to Republican over 2006. Both are pretty big counties, so that's a lot of votes to pick up.
Update V: According to Trib results, Kirk's leading for the first time tonight.
Update VI: Capitol Fax sez recall is leaning "yes." That'd buck most press recommendations I read.
Update VII: via Twitter, @tbloomquist: "The Green and Libertarian candidates are up 8k and 6k respectively in the expiring over the full." Makes sense: it's like a free protest vote. It's like a democracy pressure valve.
Update VIII: Kane County looks like another place where Republicans are performing stronger than in '06, with 94% reporting.
Update IX: Holy shit, Feingold lost (well, it's been called at least, and the county-by-county reporting isn't promising for Feingold). It's not like that wasn't predicted, but that's a huge flip.
Update X: Looks like Kirk's going to pull it off, IMO; Brady's pulling tight on Quinn but hasn't passed with
79% 87% reporting via the Sun-Times.
Update XI: It's going to be down to the wire with Brady/Quinn.